Arlt, Debora
- Institutionen för ekologi, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
Sammanfattning
Phenotypic responses to climate affect individual fitness, but the extent to which this translates into effects on population dynamics remains poorly understood. We assemble 213 time series on phenotypes and population sizes of wild vertebrates globally and match them with local climate data. Our meta-analysis shows that morphological traits are mostly climate insensitive. However, phenology is earlier in warmer-than-average years, which contributes positively to population growth in most species. At lower latitudes, temperature has weaker effects on phenology but stronger direct negative effects on population growth, likely because these populations are less capable of tracking climate via plasticity. Variation in the phenology-mediated effect of temperature on population growth cannot be explained by latitude, generation time, migratory mode, or diet. This suggests that simple relationships between species characteristics and population responses to warming may not occur in nature. Instead, we may need to embrace ecological complexity by considering local-scale predictors that capture intra-specific variation.
Publicerad i
Nature Communications
2026, volym: 17, nummer: 1, artikelnummer: 479
Utgivare: NATURE PORTFOLIO
SLU författare
Hentati Sundberg, Jonas
- Institutionen för akvatiska resurser (SLU Aqua), Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
- Institutionen för akvatiska resurser (SLU Aqua), Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
Pärt, Tomas
- Institutionen för ekologi, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
- Institutionen för ekologi, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
UKÄ forskningsämne
Ekologi
Publikationens identifierare
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-68172-8
Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)
https://res.slu.se/id/publ/145909