Erroneous conclusions about current geographical distribution and future expansion of forest insects in Northern Sweden: comments on Hof and Svahlin (2015)

Sammanfattning

We question the validity of the results and the conclusions from a study entitled The potential effect of climate change on the geographical distribution of insect pest species in the Swedish boreal forest that was recently published in Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research. The main problem is that for several of the species the current geographical distributions presented in the paper (based on modeling of a limited set of occurrence data) are vastly underestimated compared with distribution maps in standard reference literature and other available occurrence data. As a consequence of that the predicted major future range expansions of these important pest species are also erroneous.

Nyckelord

Climate change; geographical distribution; Norway spruce; pest insects; Scots pine; species distribution modeling

Publicerad i

Scandinavian Journal of Forest Research
2016, volym: 31, nummer: 1, sidor: 126-127
Utgivare: TAYLOR & FRANCIS AS

SLU författare

• Björklund, Niklas

  • Institutionen för ekologi, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
    

• Lindelöw, Åke

  • Institutionen för ekologi, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
    

• Schroeder, Martin

  • Institutionen för ekologi, Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
    

Associerade SLU-program

SLU Nätverk växtskydd

Globala målen (SDG)

SDG13 Bekämpa klimatförändringarna

UKÄ forskningsämne

Ekologi

Publikationens identifierare

• DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02827581.2015.1086018

Permanent länk till denna sida (URI)

https://res.slu.se/id/publ/68993